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Goldman Raises Oil Demand Outlook

Goldman Sachs analysts have revised their outlook for global oil demand upwards, now expecting growth of 600,000 barrels daily this year and 400,000 barrels daily in 2026.

The bank, however, maintained its oil price forecast at $60 per barrel of Brent crude and $56 per barrel of West Texas Intermediate for this year, Reuters reported, citing a new note. Brent crude was trading at over $65 per barrel at the time of writing, and WTI was trading at over $62.

OPEC Leaves Forecast for 2024 Oil-Demand Growth Unchanged

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) on Wednesday stuck to its forecast for relatively strong growth in global oil demand in 2024 and said 2025 will see a robust increase in oil use, led by China and the Middle East.

OPEC, in a monthly report, said world oil demand will rise by 1.85 million barrels per day in 2025. For 2024, OPEC saw demand growth of 2.25 million bpd, unchanged from last month.

What Does 2024 Hold For China’s Economy And Oil Demand?

China’s stellar economic growth for many years pushed the prices of the major commodities it needed ever higher, almost single-handedly creating and sustaining the commodities supercycle over those years.
China’s economic growth target for 2023 was officially “around 5%”, which meant that it was almost certainly going to be attained on paper, regardless of the reality behind the figures.
One obvious sector of concern – among many others that are less so – is the property sector, which accounts for around a third of China’s entire GDP and about 65 percent of total household assets.