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As Oil Struggles To Hit $90, Will OPEC+ Cut Production Again Soon?

OPEC+ has extended its production cuts totaling 3.66 million bpd until 2025.
Further production cuts by OPEC+ could impact global oil prices and economic stability, particularly affecting China and the U.S.
Prominent OPEC countries may be reluctant to risk lower oil prices, as doing so could jeopardize the budgets for their ambitious national spending programs.

Demand Pessimism on Oil Market Dissipates

Traders’ pessimism in the global oil market began to increase after OPEC reiterated it might consider rolling back production cuts in 2024.
Rystad Energy recently predicted that global oil supply growth will be virtually non-existent this year because of the OPEC+ cuts without mentioning spare capacity.
Crude prices have recovered in recent days, but the supply side looks bearish due to OPEC+’s spare capacity and rising production from the US, Guyana, and Brazil.

U.S. Crude Production Growth Challenges OPEC+ Control Over Prices

OPEC+ agrees to extend voluntary production cuts of 2.2 million BPD until the end of 2025, with gradual easing starting in October 2024.
The decision aims to stabilize crude prices and balance market demands, reflecting Saudi Arabia’s efforts to reconcile diverse member interests.
Weak demand concerns in China and other major economies, coupled with record U.S. oil output, have contributed to falling oil prices despite OPEC+ cuts and Middle Eastern tensions.

Oil alliance OPEC+ could extend production cuts this weekend as focus shifts away from Middle East tensions, sources say

The oil-producing Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies could extend existing output cuts this week, delegates and analysts tell CNBC, even as focus shifts from Middle East tensions to summer demand.
Four OPEC+ delegates, who spoke anonymously because of the sensitivity of talks, told CNBC the 2.2 million-barrels-per-day supply reductions will likely be prolonged, with one noting that the alliance would avoid shifting approach at a time when oil prices are relatively stable.