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Oil Majors Pursue Projects with $30 per Barrel Breakeven

The U.S. and global oil and gas sector is currently enjoying a third year of relatively high energy prices with oil demand on a steady growth trajectory. WTI crude has traded above $70 per barrel for the better part of the past 12 months, well above the $54 per barrel average breakeven price for U.S. shale basins. However, U.S. oil majors are not allowing high energy prices to lull them into a false sense of security, rankled by the memories of the historic oil price crash of 2020. Oil majors are now hedging their bets by targeting new oilfields that can be profitable even at $30 per barrel oil, reflecting executives’ belief that high prices are anything but guaranteed.

Oil proceeds drop in 2nd half of 2023

Total receipts from liftings from Ghana’s oil fields amounted to $521.9 million in the second half of 2023.

This is however lower than the $696.815 million secured in the same period of 2022.

No reasons have yet been attributed to the drop in proceeds.

Meanwhile, the sad development comes particularly at a time when the government is in dire need of funds to shore up its domestic revenue in the wake of the closure of the international capital markets to the country.

$1 a barrel tumble by crude oil prices

Growing U.S. oil inventories sent crude oil prices sliding by a dollar a barrel in Wednesday’s trading. Investors fear the growing crude inventory could result in less demand for oil in the nation.

West Texas Intermediate, the US benchmark, dropped $1.23 or 1.6% to settle at $76.64 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

Oil Markets Are Much Tighter Than Oil Prices Suggest

According to StanChart, the global oil surplus we are currently witnessing is due to seasonal weakness in the month of January.
StanChart notes that there’s been a January inventory draw in only three years since 2004, with the first month of the year averaging a build of 1.2 million barrels per day.
StanChart has predicted that this surplus is transitory and will flip into a 1.6 mb/d deficit in February.