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Kazakhstan Is Taking Big Hits As Trump and Putin Feud

Over the past few weeks, the Trump administration has attempted to broker a peace deal between Russia and Ukraine, offering a glimmer of hope that the 3-year war could soon come to an end. The U.S. has held separate meetings with Russian and Ukrainian delegations in a bid to reach a lasting deal, but one particular OPEC member is finding itself in the crosshairs of the conflict despite the ongoing peace negotiations.

Black Sea Disruptions, Oil Prices Threaten Kazakhstan’s Growth

Kazakhstan’s GDP is expected to grow at a moderate pace in the next two years, driven by oil and consumer spending.
Inflation is likely to remain above target in the short term, but is projected to decline over time.
The World Bank recommends reforms to improve the effectiveness of monetary policy and reduce the budget deficit.

Kazakhstan Eyes Expanded Routes for Oil Exports in 2024

Kazakhstan aims to boost its oil exports through the trans-Caspian corridor and to Germany via the Druzhba pipeline, despite potential complications with Russian transit approvals.
The country experienced a 10% increase in oil exports in 2023, reaching over 70 million tons, but saw a 10% drop in revenue due to declining oil prices.
Concerns arise over the Caspian Pipeline Consortium as a Turkish terminal refuses oil deliveries to avoid US sanctions, highlighting the geopolitical complexities affecting Kazakhstan’s export strategies.