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Saudi Arabia’s Economic Strategy is a Double-Edged Sword for OPEC Stability

Despite the fiscal challenges, Saudi Arabia appears steadfast in its commitment to Vision 2030.
Saudi Arabia’s role as a stabilizer within OPEC comes at a cost and Saudi Arabia may have to commit to longer and deeper output cuts.
Saudi Arabia’s balancing act between maintaining OPEC stability, sustaining oil revenues, and investing in non-oil sectors is a complex endeavor.

Demand Pessimism on Oil Market Dissipates

Traders’ pessimism in the global oil market began to increase after OPEC reiterated it might consider rolling back production cuts in 2024.
Rystad Energy recently predicted that global oil supply growth will be virtually non-existent this year because of the OPEC+ cuts without mentioning spare capacity.
Crude prices have recovered in recent days, but the supply side looks bearish due to OPEC+’s spare capacity and rising production from the US, Guyana, and Brazil.