Iran’s output, which hit the highest since 2018 last year despite U.S. sanctions, fell by 70,000 bpd, the survey found. It may soon be curbed by tighter sanctions from the administration of incoming U.S. President Donald Trump, Goldman Sachs and other analysts have forecast.
Tesla stock is selling off prior to the cash open on Thursday after the company missed on its Q4 and annual delivery and sales number. Annual vehicle sales actually declined in 2024, marking the first drop in over a decade, despite achieving record deliveries in the fourth quarter.
The stocks of Canadian heavy oil producers have just taken a shellacking over the last six months. Much of the downdraft has coincided fairly well with the results of the American presidential election in early November, sending Donald Trump back to the White House. Trump has promised to levy a 25% tariff on Canadian imports if that country doesn’t improve its border security measures. The smart money recognizes this as being mostly bluster on his part, but it has put the Canadian government into a full-stop panic-as it was intended to do.
For the final week of the year, the EIA estimated a gasoline inventory build of 7.7 million barrels, with production averaging 9 million barrels. This compared with a build of 1.6 million barrels for the previous week, when production averaged 9.9 million barrels daily.
Exports of Russian gas via pipelines running through Ukraine finally came to an end on New Year’s Day, marking the end of an era of Moscow’s dominance over Europe’s energy markets. Russia’s gas firm Gazprom said it had supplying gas at 0500 GMT on Wednesday after Ukraine refused to renew a transit agreement. Ukraine will lose up to $1 billion a year in transit fees from Russia– which it hopes to offset by quadrupling its domestic gas transmission tariffs for consumers–while Gazprom will lose close to $5 billion in gas sales. Ukraine gas amounted to 5% of total EU gas imports.
The U.S. shale patch is unlikely to follow President-elect Donald Trump’s campaign highlight “drill, baby, drill” as the industry is far more consolidated and disciplined than when Trump was first president at the end of the 2010s.
Even as Russian troops and tanks moved into Ukraine in February 2022, Russian natural gas kept flowing through the country’s pipeline network — set up when Ukraine and Russia were both part of the Soviet Union — to Europe, under a five-year agreement.
As of the time of writing, an ongoing investigation had not managed to prove any link between the New Year’s Day truck explosion that killed 15 people in New Orleans and the Cyber Truck explosion later the same day in Las Vegas, which injured 7 people outside the Trump International Hotel.
In oil, 2024 was an interesting year, with OPEC and the International Energy Agency vastly differing in their forecasts about demand for the commodity that underpins the global economy. Other analysts also disagreed, leaving traders stuck between actual fundamentals and predictions based on unproved assumptions, such as the adoption rate of electric cars, which has been weakening everywhere except in China.
Wind and solar energy are critical to the global decarbonization movement but pose some key challenges for energy security in terms of steady supply and steady pricing. Solar and wind are variable energy sources, which means that their production levels fluctuate according to external and uncontrollable factors including the weather, time of day, and the seasons. Plus, some people have solar panels on their houses, making them both energy producers and consumers with a two-way flow to grids which were built with only one direction of flow in mind. And then there’s the runaway growth in electric vehicle markets, which will also present a whole new source of stress for electric grids.