Eight key alliance members agreed to raise supply by 548,000 barrels a day at a video conference on Saturday, putting the group on pace to unwind its most recent layer of output cuts one year earlier than originally outlined. The countries had announced increases of 411,000 barrels for each of May, June and July – already three times faster than scheduled – and traders had expected the same amount for August.
BRICS also acknowledged that the world is still decades away from giving up oil and gas, especially in its emerging-economy parts. “We acknowledge fossil fuels will still play an important role in the world’s energy mix,” the group said in its joint statement, “particularly for emerging markets and developing economies, and we recognize the need to promote just, orderly, equitable and inclusive energy transitions and reduce GHG emissions in line with our climate goals and observing SDG7, and the principles of technological neutrality and common but differentiated responsibilities and respective capabilities taking into account national circumstances, needs and priorities.”
The United Kingdom Maritime Trade Operations website reported that “The vessel has been engaged by multiple small vessels who have opened fire with small arms and self-propelled grenades. Armed Security Team have returned fire and situation is ongoing. Authorities are investigating. Vessels are advised to transit with caution and report any suspicious activity to UKMTO.”
Goldman Sachs, meanwhile, was quick to predict another oversized OPEC+ output hike in September, at 500,000 barrels daily. The bank issued the prediction on Sunday, saying “Saturday’s announcement to accelerate supply hikes increases our confidence that the shift, which we started flagging last summer, to a more long-run equilibrium focused on normalizing spare capacity and market share, supporting internal cohesion, and strategically disciplining US shale supply, is continuing.”
OPEC+ will ramp up oil production more aggressively than anticipated in August, accelerating the rollback of its 2023 voluntary supply cuts in a bid to capture market share amid peak summer demand. At a virtual meeting Saturday, eight core members led by Saudi Arabia agreed to add 548,000 barrels per day (bpd) to global supply—exceeding earlier expectations of a 411,000 bpd hike. The move sets the bloc on track to fully unwind 2.2 million bpd of prior cuts nearly a year ahead of schedule.
While official statements treat each case in isolation, the sheer number and pattern demand attention. Kremlin critics and Western analysts are urging transparent, independent investigations. But in Putin’s Russia, that’s highly unlikely.
Europe has accelerated its purchases of liquefied natural gas to refill its storage caverns for the winter, and once again, this has driven prices higher, sapping demand in Asia. This could turn into a seasonal pattern until new LNG capacity comes online—and it will definitely add to Europe’s energy cost woes.
Oil markets kicked off the new year in a downbeat mood, with Wall Street analysts almost unanimously predicting a huge oversupply in 2025 even if OPEC+ did not add a single barrel back into the market. Well, it’s six months on, and oil markets have continued to defy these bearish expectations.
Velesto Drilling has secured a contract from PTTEP to deploy its NAGA 5 jackup rig for a 15-well campaign starting in June 2025 in Malaysian waters, the company said on Monday.
Chevron Corp. and TotalEnergies SE are competing in Libya’s first energy exploration tender since the 2011 conflict, the country’s state-run oil firm said, as the OPEC member looks to oil majors to help ramp up production to a record.