Exports of Russian gas via pipelines running through Ukraine finally came to an end on New Year’s Day, marking the end of an era of Moscow’s dominance over Europe’s energy markets. Russia’s gas firm Gazprom said it had supplying gas at 0500 GMT on Wednesday after Ukraine refused to renew a transit agreement. Ukraine will lose up to $1 billion a year in transit fees from Russia– which it hopes to offset by quadrupling its domestic gas transmission tariffs for consumers–while Gazprom will lose close to $5 billion in gas sales. Ukraine gas amounted to 5% of total EU gas imports.
The U.S. shale patch is unlikely to follow President-elect Donald Trump’s campaign highlight “drill, baby, drill” as the industry is far more consolidated and disciplined than when Trump was first president at the end of the 2010s.
Even as Russian troops and tanks moved into Ukraine in February 2022, Russian natural gas kept flowing through the country’s pipeline network — set up when Ukraine and Russia were both part of the Soviet Union — to Europe, under a five-year agreement.
As of the time of writing, an ongoing investigation had not managed to prove any link between the New Year’s Day truck explosion that killed 15 people in New Orleans and the Cyber Truck explosion later the same day in Las Vegas, which injured 7 people outside the Trump International Hotel.
In oil, 2024 was an interesting year, with OPEC and the International Energy Agency vastly differing in their forecasts about demand for the commodity that underpins the global economy. Other analysts also disagreed, leaving traders stuck between actual fundamentals and predictions based on unproved assumptions, such as the adoption rate of electric cars, which has been weakening everywhere except in China.
Wind and solar energy are critical to the global decarbonization movement but pose some key challenges for energy security in terms of steady supply and steady pricing. Solar and wind are variable energy sources, which means that their production levels fluctuate according to external and uncontrollable factors including the weather, time of day, and the seasons. Plus, some people have solar panels on their houses, making them both energy producers and consumers with a two-way flow to grids which were built with only one direction of flow in mind. And then there’s the runaway growth in electric vehicle markets, which will also present a whole new source of stress for electric grids.
The increase in new exploration projects reflects the growth in demand for natural gas from Norway, following the Russian invasion of Ukraine and subsequent sanctions on Russian oil. Norway is Western Europe’s largest oil and gas producer, with an output of more than 4 million bpd, and the government aims to continue increasing production for several decades.
Electricity prices were a popular topic in global headlines in 2024. President-elect Donald Trump ran a campaign based on promises to slash energy prices for United States consumers. Ukraine is facing a brutal winter with punishing electricity costs on top of its already stressed and war-stricken economy. Europe is facing ever-higher rates of energy poverty and is desperately seeking solutions. But while problems surrounding energy prices are widespread, they are not exactly global.
The factors outlined—ranging from AI’s energy demands and geopolitical disruptions to countries’ net-zero goals and nuclear policy shifts—suggest a strong long-term case for uranium demand and higher prices. While near-term uncertainties may create volatility, the resurgence of nuclear energy globally positions uranium as a critical commodity for the future. By mid-2025, a rebound to levels of $90–$100 per pound seems increasingly plausible.
Energocom said on January 2 that consumption is expected to be higher by about 10 on January 3, but it will still cover demand. Electricity consumption of the right bank of the Dniester River was fully covered in the first two days of the year, the government’s crisis group announced on January 2.