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Markets Await Inflation Data as Oil Prices Continue to Rally

All eyes are fixed on US inflation data as crude oil prices have maintained their hot streak and are set to end this week with a third weekly gain. Surging geopolitical tensions around Israel and Lebanon have overshadowed slackening economic data from the US in May, with every single day this week posting a day-on-day increase and Brent set to finish the week at $87 per barrel.

Demand Pessimism on Oil Market Dissipates

Traders’ pessimism in the global oil market began to increase after OPEC reiterated it might consider rolling back production cuts in 2024.
Rystad Energy recently predicted that global oil supply growth will be virtually non-existent this year because of the OPEC+ cuts without mentioning spare capacity.
Crude prices have recovered in recent days, but the supply side looks bearish due to OPEC+’s spare capacity and rising production from the US, Guyana, and Brazil.

U.S. Crude Is Dominating Global Oil Markets

Surging U.S. crude exports, particularly WTI Midland, have dominated global markets, with record export volumes and a significant portion being sent to Europe.
The addition of WTI Midland has provided benefits for U.S. producers by allowing forward sales and reducing pricing risk.
According to data from ship tracker Kpler, WTI Midland exports hit a record at 2.94 million bpd in December.