The Liberals, who were trailing Conservatives for years under former PM Trudeau, are now ahead in the opinion polls and widening the lead over Conservatives as the new Liberal leader Carney is seen as more capable than Poilievre of standing up to President Trump’s threats. If the six-point lead of the Liberals holds until Election Day, Carney could be able to form Canada’s first majority government in a decade
According to a White House fact sheet, steel, aluminum, gold and copper imports won’t be subject to reciprocal tariffs, providing at least some relief to domestic buyers who are already bearing the cost of Section 232 tariffs of 25% on all imports of some key metals. Gold, however, jumped as much as 1.1% to a record as investors sought safety following the tariff headlines. Bullion has climbed more than 20% this year after a ferocious run in 2024.
After a series of internal meetings at Iraq’s Oil Ministry over the past two weeks, talks with several international energy companies have begun with the aim of finally kickstarting developments on the country’s key non-associated gas fields, a senior source who works closely with the Ministry exclusively told OilPrice.com last week. “It’s finally sunk in that the jig’s up with the U.S. and Iran [Washington’s previous granting of waivers to Iraq to keep importing gas and electricity from Tehran], which means everyone’s now scrambling around trying to work out how they’re going increase gas output to levels that prevent rolling blackouts all year round,” the source said. “There are good options available to it [the Ministry], but they all have major political consequences attached, so the decisions in the coming weeks won’t be straightforward,” he added.
Over the past few weeks, the Trump administration has attempted to broker a peace deal between Russia and Ukraine, offering a glimmer of hope that the 3-year war could soon come to an end. The U.S. has held separate meetings with Russian and Ukrainian delegations in a bid to reach a lasting deal, but one particular OPEC member is finding itself in the crosshairs of the conflict despite the ongoing peace negotiations.
Instead, it’s all about oil. Trump has always been in the pocket of the US oil industry, while Russia is the world’s third-largest producer of fossil fuels. Russia is also the largest block of land in the Arctic, and it is known to hold vast and mostly untapped mineral wealth.
If we stay on this trend, Trump would be taking a whole new approach towards the South American nation. In his first administration, he tried to isolate the country economically and politically to oust Nicolás Maduro’s regime. Joe Biden tried to leverage existing sanctions to push for a democratic election. But now, Trump 2.0 would be looking out for the interests of American businesses and consumers first, at the expense of other considerations.
The Biden administration had indeed introduced a lot of red tape into the energy industry that has made it more difficult for companies to expand their operations—yet they still managed to do it and bring oil and gas production to new highs. Price, however, seems to remain a rather sensitive subject. The industry has not hidden its reluctance to drill at will just because Trump is president; instead, it has indicated that it will stick to its new focus on fiscal discipline and making shareholders happy. Indeed, the industry’s agenda here is at odds with the president’s, since his involves cheaper energy.
Chevron has been exporting some 240,000 barrels of Venezuelan crude to the United States daily thanks to the waiver. The amount constitutes a quarter of the country’s total oil production and generates substantial revenues that stay in the Venezuelan economy, Bloomberg reported earlier this week, arguing Chevron’s presence was critical for that economy. These revenues are running at some $6 billion.
Industry executives are prepared to praise Trump’s early moves, including his decision to end a Biden-era permitting pause that halted new authorizations to export liquefied natural gas overseas. The Trump administration has already moved to issue those licenses, with the most recent coming Wednesday for Venture Global LNG Inc.’s CP2 project in Louisiana.
Earlier, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy declined a proposal by Trump to acquire approximately 50% of Ukraine’s rare earth mineral rights. Valued at several trillion dollars, Ukraine’s mineral reserves include lithium, titanium and graphite which are essential for high-tech industries. The proposal was delivered by U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent as part of a bid to compensate Washington for assistance to Kyiv. Trump had suggested that Ukraine owed the United States $500 billion worth of resources for its past military support. However, Zelenskyy sought better terms, including U.S. and European security guarantees. Trump’s proposal did not include provisions for future assistance, which Zelenskyy deems necessary. Zelenskyy’s team has developed an offer for a mineral partnership in exchange for security guarantees, which was announced earlier this month.