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From shale to offshore, global oil and gas industry dynamics are shifting

Tight oil has taken a front seat in terms of global oil production and activity growth ever since the so-called shale revolution that kicked off in earnest at the beginning of the last decade – but this year has seen the beginning of a change in this trend. With US tight oil investments expected to decline by about 10% in 2024 compared to last year, US production is only forecast to grow around 400,000 barrels per day (bpd) this year and next – the lowest level of growth for the sector since the Covid-19 pandemic-affected years of 2020 and 2021. At the same time, investments in the offshore sector on the rise and are seen growing around 5% both this year and next.

Oil and Gas Production Surges in Argentina’s Vaca Muerta Shale

Argentina’s Vaca Muerta shale play posted significant first-quarter gains in 2025, building on last year’s strong performance, with oil output surging 26% and gas production rising 16% year-on-year, according to Rystad Energy estimates. This growth is shifting Argentina away from its historical dependence on gas imports, pushing the nation closer to energy self-sufficiency.

The Next Phase Of The U.S. Shale Revolution

Mergers in the U.S. shale patch have continued through the course of 2023 as companies jockey for assets that will fill in gaps in their acreage base. Two key basins have been the focus of much of this activity. I refer to the Permian Basin and the Eagle Ford, each of which has attributes that draw the interested eyes of companies with strong balance sheets and cash to spend.