Indian refiners have suspended new orders for Russian crude, Reuters has reported, citing unnamed sources as saying the industry awaited clarity from the government about navigating the new U.S. sanction context.
Reliance, which typically buys crude from the Middle East, has been more active than usual in procuring oil from the Gulf region in recent weeks.
President Donald Trump has reiterated his threat to make India pay “massive” tariffs unless it stops buying Russian oil, repeating that India’s Prime Minister had assured him those purchases would stop.
State-owned refiners in India have informed their traditional large LPG suppliers from the Gulf – Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, the United Arab Emirates (UAE), and Qatar – that they should expect potentially lower nominations for their product from India, according to Reuters’ sources.
Russia is one of the top-three oil exporters in the world, meaning any pressure on its exports should be applied with care to avoid a price shock. Indeed, President Trump’s statement about PM Modi pushed oil benchmarks higher earlier today because of the supply tightening effect such a move by India would have.
Russia’s liquefied natural gas cargoes could be redirected to Turkey and Asia if the European Union makes a plan to ban Russian LNG official, Patrick Pouyanne, the chief executive of French oil and gas supermajor TotalEnergies, says.
“So far, there has been no discussion of tariffs, either on India or on China,” one of the unnamed sources told Reuters, adding that Brussels was just wrapping up a trade deal with India and did not want to jeopardize that.
Oil traders are focused on New Delhi’s buying after Washington doubled tariffs on many Indian imports to 50 percent to try to end the war in Ukraine. As part of the drive – which has not been matched by similar US action against China, another big importer – Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent accused the country’s wealthiest families of profiteering, and Navarro said the nation was fueling “the Russian war machine” and “nothing but a laundromat” for the Kremlin.
This week, state and private oil processors including Reliance Industries Ltd., Indian Oil Corp. and Bharat Petroleum Corp. bought more US West Texas Intermediate crude than normal, according to traders who asked not to be identified as they’re not authorized to speak to the media. The main driver was more favorable prices for the grade, which have weakened relative to Middle East benchmarks, they said.
Today, an additional 25% tariff on all Indian exports to the United States should come into effect, making the total tariff owed by importers of Indian goods around 50%. The additional tariff aims to discourage Indian energy importers from buying Russian oil. And it could hurt the U.S. economy—although U.S. oil producers would welcome the price change.