China’s Falling LNG Imports are a Boon for Europe

It is impossible to say for how long China’s LNG imports will remain subdued, so this is really an opportune time for European buyers to strike years-long deals for liquefied gas. Over the short term, Europe will likely avoid stratospheric gas prices as it starts replenishing its gas inventories—these are currently so low that the continent will need to buy an additional 20 million tons of LNG this year, according to Reuters calculations cited by Bousso in his column. That translates into some 250 cargos, which, thanks to China’s weaker demand, will be more readily available for European buyers.

China Energy Imports Down at Start of 2025

Chinese energy imports broadly fell at the start of 2025, after last year’s record shipments of coal and gas created an overhang of supply and demand for oil continued to ease.

Crude oil imports fell 5 percent on-year in January and February to 83.85 million tons as buyers had to scout for alternative supplies after the US tightened sanctions on Russian and Iranian cargoes.

China Set to Boost Coal Dependence

China is the undisputed leader in the transition space, investing the most in wind and solar, along with EVs, and having the greatest generation capacity of the alternative sources of energy. Last year, solar capacity alone surged by 45%. Together with wind and hydropower, total low-carbon generation capacity reached 40% of the country’s total, the Chinese authorities reported last month.