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Trade War Is Diverting USA Petroleum Gas Cargoes Away From China

Four cargoes of propane have shifted their routes from China to alternate destinations over the past week, bound for countries including Japan and South Korea, according to a report from analytics firm Vortexa. At least one cargo of ethane — which is used in plastics production — has been scrapped entirely, according to a person familiar with the matter.

China Hits Oil Output Record

In January, China’s National Energy Administration said it was eyeing stable oil production of over 200 million tons in 2025. Two months later, oil production in the world’s largest importer of the commodity hit an all-time high of 4.6 million barrels daily, per official data. China is taking “Drill, baby, drill” to heart.

IEA Chief Says Oil Prices May Fall Further on China Slowdown

Oil prices may decline further this year as new production swells and demand remains capped by China’s faltering growth, the head of the International Energy Agency said.

While crude futures have recovered over the past two weeks to trade near $68 a barrel on London, they remain roughly 9% below levels traded before President Donald Trump announced a blizzard of tariffs on China and other nations on April 2.

China’s Oil Supertankers Face $5.2-Million Fee per U.S. Port Call

The U.S. move to penalize China-built and China-owned vessels calling at U.S. ports could lead to an oil supertanker made in China and operated by a Chinese company facing a fee of up to $5.2 million per call at a U.S. port, shipbrokers have estimated.

The U.S. last week announced fees on vessel owners and operators of China based on net tonnage per U.S. voyage. The previous proposal was a per-port-entry fee of up to $1.5 million on Chinese-built vessels, and up to a $1 million per-port-entry fee on any vessel (Chinese-built or non-Chinese-built) for operators that have any Chinese-built vessels in their fleet or orderbook.

China Axes Imports of Most U.S. Commodities in Escalating Trade War

China slashed its imports of many U.S. energy and agricultural commodities in March amid intensifying trade and tariff tensions with the United States, which are set to further reduce Chinese purchases of American goods this month and in the coming months.
China’s LNG imports from the United States crashed to zero in March as China slapped tariffs on American LNG and other energy products, making these uneconomical for Chinese buyers.
Last year, U.S. LNG represented about 5% of China’s imports of the super-chilled fuel.

China Uses Gray Trade Tactics To Circumvent U.S. Tariffs

The March export numbers could be a glimpse into what’s coming, but not immediately. In fact, some analysts expect a slowdown in Chinese exports in the coming months while the dust from the tariffs settles. “Exports will likely weaken in coming months as the U.S. tariffs [have] skyrocketed,” Zhiwei Zhang, president and chief economist at Pinpoint Asset Management, told CNBC. He added that “in the short term, I expect chaos in supply chains and potential shortage in the U.S. that may drive up inflation.”

Oil Prices Stabilize on Tariff Exemptions and China Imports

At the time of writing, Brent crude was trading at just over $65 per barrel, with West Texas Intermediate at $61.71 per barrel, after on Friday the Trump administration announced a tariff exemption for certain electronics and semiconductors. Optimism wavered this week, however, as Washington launched investigations into pharmaceutical and semiconductor imports in what the media reported was part of setting the stage for tariffs on these two groups of products. President Trump himself said semiconductors were on the line for tariffs.