Author: intent

Biden Doubles Down on Sanctions in His Final Days

Sanctions have become the main news in 2025 so far, with this week seeing a tightening of US sanctions against China as the Pentagon targeted state-backed oil and shipping firms. Rumors are circulating that the outgoing Biden administration will slap further sanctions on Russia and Iran, inadvertently lifting oil prices before Donald Trump takes office on January 20. For the time being, ICE Brent futures are hovering around $77 per barrel, with a potential spike above $80 per barrel becoming an increasingly likely outcome.

Oil Price Volatility: A Major Challenge for National Oil Companies in 2025

Oil and gas will remain crucial to the global energy mix for the foreseeable future despite the growth of renewables. Oil demand is expected to peak within the next decade, but projections indicate that more than half of today’s oil consumption – of around 105 million barrels per day – will persist until 2050. This enduring demand provides stability for NOCs, but they must navigate a market shaped by price volatility, geopolitical shifts and growing pressure to decarbonize.

Europe Races to Refill as Gas Reserves Dwindle

Unsurprisingly, the cessation of Russian gas via Ukraine has pushed prices for natural gas higher across Europe. The Dutch TTF gas hub’s front-month contract reached a ten-month high of €42.57 per megawatt-hour, reflecting market jitters. Traders are also paying a record premium for European gas for the upcoming summer, a reversal of the usual pricing trend where summer gas is cheaper. This suggests there are significant concerns about the challenges in restocking during the summer of 2025.

Middle East Oil Eyes Global Benchmark Status

Two years ago, West Texas Intermediate, the U.S. benchmark crude blend, joined the most traded, most liquid contract in the world: Brent. The move was hailed as a watershed moment in oil trading. With the oil market constantly changing, there could come a time when a Middle East blend might come to rival the international benchmark.